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The odds of NY Jets making the 2011 season playoffs

NY Jets preparing for first preseason game

Assessing playoff chances

12/24/2011

Nooooooo, the Jets lost to the Eagles 29-14. I mean that was just brutal to watch. All the Jets had to do was win. Hurts to be a Jets fan! You know it. I know it. Worse, it’s a Giants town now! Eeeew!

But what does this freakin’ mean man?!

The NY Jets no longer control their destiny and the playoff picture looks dim. I mean come on, they had it.

But is there a possibility to sneak into the Wildcard slot? Yes.

But shamefully, Gang Green needs help. Lots of it. Now the Bengals and the Chargers have to lose AND the Jets need to win to make it to the playoffs. It’s the only way now. And while will be rooting for them, won’t be with a head held high. Still what am I gonna do on weekends if Jets aren’t playing in the playoffs?! Go JETS.

12/19/11

Jets broke down this week against the Eagles losing 45-19 Sunday. The Jets 3 game winning streak is dead and now they’re 8-6!

The Jets are now tied with the Cincinnati Bengals for the last wildcard spot. Fortunately, my friends, by some weird magic, the NY Jets hold the tiebreaker advantage over the Bengals with a better record against common opponents. Don’t know how that works but we Jets fans will take it.

So the Jets are still in! But that means their game against the Giants & Dolphins are must wins. One more loss and they’re likely out. Geez, why are they walking on thin ice?

I better be hearing you yell and chant J-E-T-S when they meet the NY Giant next weekend!

12/11/11

With the Jets beating the Chiefs badly this Sunday 37-10, the Jets playoff chances are looking great. With this win, Jets are now 8-5 recordwise.

The othe AFC teams in contention with the Jets are the Titans and Bengals but they lost today. Please dance with us as we celebrate this as well. Luck is also a skill :p.

This gives the Jets a one game lead in the wildcard spot which is good news. All you need to know is Jets need to keep winning from here on out to hold onto this wildcard spot and make the playoffs again.

If you want more details, check this out

Tune in next weekend when the Jets go against the Eagles. Cross your fingers, or not (you arrogant Jets fan :p )

NOTE: Below here is the prediction we made before the season started for the Jets. Feel free to look over, still interesting read if I say so myself.

With the Jets’ preseason game beginning today against the Texans, now would be a good time to consider the Gang green’s chances of making the playoffs.

The New York Jets surprised many when they made the playoffs the 2010 season with a 9-7 record after winning the last two games against teams who rested their starters (14-1 Indianapolis Colts and 10-5 Cincinnati Bengals). Yet the Jets 2010 playoff berth should have been expected. Making the playoff primarily depends on winning the division and secondly on having an above .500 winning record.

The Jets 2010 Challenges

For the 2010 season, the Jets were scheduled for eight games against teams who had a 8-8 or worse record the previous season. Having proven to be a playoff caliber team in the 2009 season, the Jets on paper had the potential to secure eight wins; notwithstanding any catastrophic anomaly. The challenge for the Jets was to win at least two games against teams who had a winning record. This would result in a 10-6 record and most probable a NY Jets post season.

Jets 2010 opponents with a previous record above 8-8

These are 8 NFL teams who in the 2009 season had a winning record and, on paper, would provide a competitive game against the Jets. In other words, outcome can go either way.

  • Minnesota Vikings (12-4)
  • Green Bay Packers (11-5)
  • New England Patriots (10-6) 2X
  • Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)
  • Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
  • Houston Texans (9-7)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7)

Jets 2010 opponents with a previous record 8-8 or worse

These are the games the Jets had to win. These are 8 football teams entering the 2010 season with a losing record.

  • Denver Broncos (8-8)
  • Chicago Bears (7-9)
  • Miami Dolphins (7-9) 2X
  • Buffalo Bills (6-10) 2X
  • Cleveland Browns (5-11)
  • Detroit Lions (2-14)

In the end, the Jets finished the season winning 6 of the 8 games against the teams who had a losing record the previous season and winning 5 out of the 8 games against the winning teams. Although the 11-5 record could not secure the division against the 14-2 Patriots it was enough to make the playoffs.

The NY Jets 2011 outlook

Looking ahead at the 2011 schedule, the Jets will be playing 7 games against teams with a winning record the previous season. One less game against a winning team compared to last season.

Jets 2011 opponents with a previous record above 8-8

The 7 games that will be a challenge to secure a win.

  • New England Patriots (14-2) 2X
  • Baltimore Ravens (12-4)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (10-6)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (10-6)
  • New York Giants (10-6)
  • San Diego Chargers (9-7)

Jets 2011 opponents with a previous record 8-8 or worse

That’s 9 games Gang Green are to be expected to win for the 2011 season, based on their 2010 record alone. These are your “gimmes”, especially for this playoff caliber team.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (8-8)
  • Oakland Raiders (8-8)
  • Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
  • Miami Dolphins (7-9) 2X
  • Buffalo Bills (4-12) 2X
  • Denver Broncos (4-12)
  • Washington Redskins (6-10)

Although there are many factors in winning, the schedule seems to favor the Jets in securing at least 9 wins. The challenge is then minimized in winning 2 out of the 7 games against the winning teams. Winning the division from the Patriots will still be difficult, if not unlikely, but the probability that the Jets will be playing in the post season this year is very high. Notwithstanding a catastrophic anomaly, of course.

While some may consider this analysis simple, it does set a reasonable baseline and a guide on what to expect for the Jets’ playoff chances.

Photo credits: AP Photo/Eric Gay

I don't know. Sometimes it feels like my writing & thoughts are way off. Who knows if it'll help anyone or if it means anything.

Written by Nassau Jones

  1. Santanu says:

    There are 3 divisions on the east. The top 3 spots go to the Division leaedrs. However there are 8 playoff spots for the east so after the Division leaedrs take the top 3 the teams with the highest points who aren’t division leaedrs get the last 5 spots for the playoffs. So a Division Winner will always have a playoff spot. If there are a tie for a division leader let’s say they each of 100 points then the team with the most wins will be the division leader for Overtime games give you 1 point they don’t count as a win. If some how the two teams have the same exact Win-Loss-Overtime Loss then they will go by goals depending on how soon the playoffs are, if there is a week or so before the start of the playoffs They will have an option to have an extra game which happened 5 or 6 years ago between the Islanders and the Bruins.So let’s say the Atlantic division (which is really the weakest division) let’s say they only get 60 points but the other teams get 80 or 90 the Atlantic Division winner would still get a playoff spot, Sad but true.

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